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Morningstar: Anthropic Fair Value at USD1.7T; Bull-Case Valuation at USD3T
10 Nov 2026 12:13
Anthropic's IPO has captured tremendous attention, with reports suggesting fundraising could whop as much as USD69.3 billion. Morningstar estimated Anthropic's fair equity value at USD1.7 trillion ahead of its listing, forecasting annual revenue growth of 47% over the next five years.

Under a bullish scenario, the company's bull-case valuation could reach USD3 trillion, assuming faster enterprise adoption, market share gains against OpenAI and Google, and improved monetization efficiency of computing assets, with annual revenue growth exceeding 60% over the next five years.

Under a bearish scenario, Anthropic's bear-case valuation would be USD500 billion, factoring in slower enterprise adoption and annual revenue growth of 22% over the next five years. Key risks include intensifying competition and elevated infrastructure costs.
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