Following the US Democratic Party's sweeping victory in the midterm elections, AI data centers are facing policy uncertainty, China Merchants Securities International said in a research report. The broker maintained its recommended rating on the internet sector.
The Democrats regained control of the House of Representatives and are likely to control the Senate, the report mentioned. Governorships in key AI data center growth states including Texas, Georgia and Ohio also shifted from Republicans to Democrats, exposing the industry to risks of stricter federal scrutiny and tighter state-level approvals. Congress could use hearings, investigations and legislation to require large power-consuming projects to bear higher grid and environmental costs.
However, presidential veto power and bipartisan consensus on AI national competitiveness are predicted to constrain any comprehensive halt to construction projects. Near-term risks are more concentrated at the state and local levels, including slower approvals, rising grid connection costs and stricter disclosure requirements. Policy changes in core growth markets may affect project delivery faster than federal legislation.
The broker maintained Overweight ratings on Meta Platforms, Inc. (META.US), Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL.US), Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN.US) and Microsoft Corporation (MSFT.US), with TP at USD830, USD460, USD326 and USD640 respectively. AI giants are simultaneously accelerating external financing, while surging capital expenditures have pushed overall free cash flow into negative territory. If tighter approvals and higher grid infrastructure costs delay some projects, capex deployment and financing pressure may ease simultaneously, alleviating market concerns over uncontrolled capital spending.
Meanwhile, Elon Musk's close ties with the Republican Party may expose Tesla, Inc. (TSLA.US) and SpaceX (Underweight, TP: USD118) to greater congressional scrutiny pressure. According to media reports, Musk contributed nearly USD500 million to Republican candidates and political groups during the midterm elections.
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